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UNC basketball vs. Louisville game preview

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Dec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Ian Jackson (11) reacts with forward James Brown (2) and guard Drake Powell (9) in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

The North Carolina Tar Heels are fresh off exactly the type of result they needed on the basketball court, dominating Campbell University by a 97-81 mark on Sunday, December 29 in one final tune-up for ACC play.

UNC (8-5, 1-0 ACC) played its most balanced, efficient brand of basketball we’ve witnessed through its young season, with all five starters scoring in double-figures. North Carolina shot a scorching 57.1 percentage from the field, while RJ Davis became the Tar Heels’ 3-point king by surpassing Marcus Paige.

UNC’s schedule is about to increase drastically in difficulty, as it now hops into an entirely-ACC schedule in 2025. North Carolina’s next conference test will be at the Louisville Cardinals on Wednesday, January 1 at 6 p.m. ET to open the New Year. Louisville (8-5, 1-1 ACC) looks significantly improved in its first year under new head coach Pat Kelsey, already matching its 2023-2024 win total.

Unless you count neutral site games, the Tar Heels haven’t played a true road game since Saturday, November 23 at Hawaii. UNC beat the Rainbow Warriors, 87-69, for its first road victory in two tries.

Both North Carolina and the Cardinals enter their New Year’s Day clash with momentum, with each program winning their past two games. The Tar Heels upset UCLA and dominated Campbell, while Louisville beat Florida State comfortably and held off Eastern Kentucky.

If matchup history is any indication of how Wednesday’s game will play out, UNC has a big advantage, winning the past five clashes. North Carolina last beat the Cardinals, 86-70, on January 17 in Chapel Hill, while the Cardinals’ last win over the Tar Heels came in February 2020.

Let’s take a deeper dive into UNC’s second ACC game – and Louisville’s third. The Cardinals aren’t an ACC contender by any means, but Kelsey has them on the up.

Key to victory for UNC

Dec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis (4) shoots as Campbell Fighting Camels forward Colby Duggan (2) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn ImagesDec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis (4) shoots as Campbell Fighting Camels forward Colby Duggan (2) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

Dec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis (4) shoots as Campbell Fighting Camels forward Colby Duggan (2) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

We witnessed it firsthand last year – and are starting to see the benefits of it in UNC’s current season.

If the Tar Heels want to beat Louisville, RJ Davis has to be on his game. Davis is playing his best basketball of late, shooting over 40% in three consecutive games, including a season-best 53.8% against Campbell.

North Carolina also needs to find shooters who can complement Davis. Every UNC starter – and three bench players – all shot over 50 percent. That kind of production is difficult to produce consistently, but if the Tar Heels can get some semblance of Sunday’s production against Louisville, they’ll be 2-0 entering the weekend.

Something to watch

Dec 21, 2024; New York, NY, USA; UCLA Bruins guard Lazar Stefanovic (10) tries to get past North Carolina Tar Heels guard Seth Trimble (7) during the second half at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: John Jones-Imagn ImagesDec 21, 2024; New York, NY, USA; UCLA Bruins guard Lazar Stefanovic (10) tries to get past North Carolina Tar Heels guard Seth Trimble (7) during the second half at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: John Jones-Imagn Images

Dec 21, 2024; New York, NY, USA; UCLA Bruins guard Lazar Stefanovic (10) tries to get past North Carolina Tar Heels guard Seth Trimble (7) during the second half at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: John Jones-Imagn Images

Seth Trimble, UNC’s defensive ace, missed the Campbell game with an upper-body injury. Trimble appeared to be in good spirits on the bench, so hopefully his injury isn’t too serious, but it’s something to keep an eye on.

If Trimble were on the court, the Camels don’t score 81 points. They had one of the country’s worst offenses coming in, but the Tar Heels’ offense was too much to keep up with.

Louisville’s offense is middle of the pack when it comes to the ACC, sitting ninth at 78 points per game, but Louisville is a significantly tougher opponent than Campbell.

Everything you need to know

Dec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Ian Jackson (11) scores in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn ImagesDec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Ian Jackson (11) scores in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

Dec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Ian Jackson (11) scores in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

What: North Carolina at Louisville

When: Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET

Where: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY

TV: ACC Network

Radio: 97.9 The Hill WCHL

Last Meeting: UNC won, 86-70, in Chapel Hill on January 17

Prediction: North Carolina 87, Louisville 82

Statistical leaders

Dec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Elliot Cadeau (3) passes the ball as Campbell Fighting Camels forward Colby Duggan (2) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn ImagesDec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Elliot Cadeau (3) passes the ball as Campbell Fighting Camels forward Colby Duggan (2) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

Dec 29, 2024; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels guard Elliot Cadeau (3) passes the ball as Campbell Fighting Camels forward Colby Duggan (2) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

North Carolina Points: RJ Davis, G, 18.8 points per game

North Carolina Rebounds: Seth Trimble, G, 4.8 rebounds per game

North Carolina Assists: Elliot Cadeau, G, 6.2 assists per game

Louisville Points: Chucky Hepburn, G, 15.2 points per game

Louisville Rebounds: J’Vonne Hadley, F, 8.0 rebounds per game

Louisville Assists: Chucky Hepburn, G, 5.2 assists per game

UNC basketball full schedule

CHAPEL HILL, NORTH CAROLINA - DECEMBER 29: RJ Davis #4 of the North Carolina Tar Heels, center, huddles with teammates during the second half of the game against the Campbell Fighting Camels at the Dean E. Smith Center on December 29, 2024 in Greensboro, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)CHAPEL HILL, NORTH CAROLINA - DECEMBER 29: RJ Davis #4 of the North Carolina Tar Heels, center, huddles with teammates during the second half of the game against the Campbell Fighting Camels at the Dean E. Smith Center on December 29, 2024 in Greensboro, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

CHAPEL HILL, NORTH CAROLINA – DECEMBER 29: RJ Davis #4 of the North Carolina Tar Heels, center, huddles with teammates during the second half of the game against the Campbell Fighting Camels at the Dean E. Smith Center on December 29, 2024 in Greensboro, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

Oct. 12: Blue-White Scrimmage (Blue 62, White 53)

Oct. 15: Exhibition @ Memphis (W, 84-76)

Oct. 27: Exhibition vs. Johnson C. Smith (W, 127-63)

Nov. 4: vs. Elon (W, 90-76) (1-0, 0-0)

Nov. 8: at Kansas (L, 92-89) (1-1, 0-0)

Nov. 15: vs. American University (W, 108-55) (2-1, 0-0)

Nov. 22: at Hawaii (W, 87-69) (3-1, 0-0)

Nov. 25: vs. Dayton, Maui Invitational (W, 92-90) (4-1, 0-0)

Nov. 26: vs. Auburn, Maui Invitational (L, 85-72) (4-2, 0-0)

Nov. 27: vs. Michigan State, Maui Invitational (L, 94-90 OT) (4-3, 0-0)

Dec. 4: vs. Alabama, SEC/ACC Challenge (L, 94-79) (4-4, 0-0)

Dec. 7: vs. Georgia Tech (W, 68-65) (5-4, 1-0 ACC)

Dec. 14: vs. La Salle (W, 93-67) (6-4, 1-0)

Dec. 17: vs. Florida, Jumpman Invitational (L, 90-84) (6-5, 1-0)

Dec. 21: vs. UCLA, CBS Sports Classic (W, 76-74) (7-5, 1-0)

Dec. 29: vs. Campbell (W, 97-81) (8-5, 1-0)

Jan. 1: at Louisville

Jan. 4: at Notre Dame

Jan. 7: vs. SMU

Jan. 11: at NC State

Jan. 15: vs. California

Jan. 18: vs. Stanford

Jan. 21: at Wake Forest

Jan. 25: vs. Boston College

Jan. 28: at Pitt

Feb. 1: at Duke

Feb. 8: vs. Pitt

Feb. 10: at Clemson

Feb. 15: at Syracuse

Feb. 19: vs. NC State

Feb. 22: vs. Virginia

Feb. 24: at Florida State

March 1: vs. Miami (FL)

March 4: at Virginia Tech

March 8: vs. Duke

March 11-15: ACC Tournament (Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC)

This article originally appeared on Tar Heels Wire : UNC basketball vs. Louisville game preview

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