Home US SportsUFC UFC Fight Night 249 predictions: Who’s picking Mackenzie Dern upset of Amanda Ribas in rematch?

UFC Fight Night 249 predictions: Who’s picking Mackenzie Dern upset of Amanda Ribas in rematch?

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The UFC is back in its Las Vegas home base this week to kick off the calendar year with a women’s strawweight rematch at the top of the bill.

UFC Fight Night 249 (ESPN+) takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Uros Medic vs. Punahele Soriano

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Records: Medic (10-2 MMA, 4-2 UFC), Soriano (10-4 MMA, 4-4 UFC)

Past five: Medic 3-2, Soriano 2-3

Division: Welterweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 01.09.25): Medic -220, Soriano +180

Junkie pick results: Medic 7, Soriano 4

Austin Bashi vs. Christian Rodriguez

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Records: Bashi (13-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC), Rodriguez (11-2 MMA, 4-2 UFC)

Past five: Bashi 5-0, Rodriguez 4-1

Division: Featherweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 01.09.25): Bashi -270, Rodriguez +220

Junkie pick results: Bashi 10, Rodriguez 1

Chris Curtis vs. Roman Kopylov

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Records: Curtis (31-11 MMA, 5-3 UFC), Kopylov (13-3 MMA, 5-3 UFC)

Past five: Curtis 2-3, Kopylov 4-1

Division: Middleweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 01.09.25): Curtis +190, Kopylov -230

Junkie pick results: Curtis 7, Kopylov 4

Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Cesar Almeida

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Records: Alhassan (12-6 MMA, 6-6 UFC), Almeida (6-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC)

Past five: Alhassan 2-3, Almeida 4-1

Division: Middleweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 01.09.25): Alhassan +205, Almeida -250

Junkie pick results: Almeida 8, Alhassan 3

Carlston Harris vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio

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Records: Harris (19-6 MMA, 4-2 UFC), Ponzinibbio (29-8 MMA, 11-7 UFC)

Past five: Harris 3-2, Ponzinibbio 1-4

Division: Welterweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 01.09.25): Harris +120, Ponzinibbio -140

Junkie pick results: Ponzinibbio 8, Harris 3

Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas

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Records: Dern (15-5 MMA, 10-5 UFC), Ribas (12-6 MMA, 7-5 UFC)

Past five: Dern 2-3, Ribas 2-3

Division: Women’s strawweight

Rankings: Dern No. 7, Ribas No. 14

Odds (as of 01.09.25): Dern +160, Ribas -190

Junkie pick results: Dern 7, Ribas 4

Preliminary card picks

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Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Felipe Bunes vs. Jose Johnson: Johnson 9, Bunes 2

  • Ihor Potieria vs. Marco Tulio: Tulio 11, Potieira 0

  • Thiago Moises vs. Trey Ogden: Moises 10, Ogden 1

  • Preston Parsons vs. Jacobe Smith: Smith 11, Parsons 0

  • Nicolle Caliari vs. Ernesta Kareckaite: Caliari 6, Kareckaite 5

  • Magomed Gadzhiyasulov vs. Bruno Lopes: Gadzhiyasulov 11, Lopes 0

  • Viktoriia Dudakova vs. Fatima Kline: Kline 7, kDudakova 4

  • Nurullo Aliev vs. Joe Solecki: Aliev 11, Solecki 0

Check out all the main card picks below.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Dern

vs.

Ribas

Harris

vs.

Ponzinibbio

Alhassan

vs.

Almeida

Curtis

vs.

Kopylov

Bashi

vs.

Rodriguez

Medic

vs.

Soriano

MMA Junkie readers’

consensus picks

208-108 (2024)

Dern

(58%)

Ponzinibbio

(71%)

Almeida

(75%)

Kopylov

(66%)

Bashi

(67%)

Medic

(73%)

Farah Hannoun

@Farah_Hannoun

209-107 (2024)

2024 Champion

Dern

Ponzinibbio

Almeida

Curtis

Bashi

Medic

Ken Hathaway

@1khathaway

209-107 (2024)

2018, 2022, 2024 Champion

Ribas

Ponzinibbio

Alhassan

Curtis

Bashi

Medic

Mike Bohn

@MikeBohn

204-112 (2024)

2014 Champion

Ribas

Ponzinibbio

Alhassan

Curtis

Bashi

Soriano

Nolan King

@mma_kings

202-114 (2024)

2023 Champion

Dern

Harris

Almeida

Curtis

Bashi

Soriano

Matt Erickson

@MattE

198-118 (2024)

Dern

Ponzinibbio

Almeida

Kopylov

Bashi

Medic

Matthew Wells

@MrMWells

196-120 (2024)

Ribas

Ponzinibbio

Almeida

Kopylov

Bashi

Medic

Abbey Subhan

@kammakaze

193-123 (2024)

Dern

Ponzinibbio

Alhassan

Curtis

Bashi

Soriano

Simon Samano

@SJSamano

189-127 (2024)

Dern

Harris

Almeida

Kopylov

Bashi

Medic

Brian Garcia

@thegoze

189-127 (2024)

2017 Champion

Dern

Ponzinibbio

Almeida

Kopylov

Bashi

Medic

Danny Segura

@dannyseguratv

187-129 (2024)

Ribas

Ponzinibbio

Almeida

Kopylov

Bashi

Medic

George Garcia

@MMAjunkieGeorge

177-139 (2024)

Dern

Harris

Almeida

Curtis

Rodriguez

Soriano

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC Fight Night 249.;l;/

This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC Fight Night 249 predictions: Who’s picking Mackenzie Dern upset of Amanda Ribas in rematch?



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